Archive for July, 2006

The Lenovo Thinkpad X60s Laptop (review)

Monday, July 31st, 2006

I am delighted with my new Lenovo Thinkpad X60s. I have a little old IBM Thinkpad, which still works well but is a bit clunky because for USB ports and Wireless it needs to use cards, its hard drive is small, and its battery is worn out. But I still liked it better than the Acer I bought a year or two ago, because it was better designed. The new Thinkpad X60s retains what is good about the IBM, and makes the simple things even better. Some things I notice:

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Faith vs. The Work of Being a Nice Guy

Sunday, July 30th, 2006

Tim Bayly has a good post (though not really good to read out of context with other, unlinked posts of his) comparing people who would say homosexuality can be accepted in the Church Universal to people who would say that those who reject salvation by faith (Roman Catholics, if they believe their denomination’s doctrine) can be accepted.

The post makes a good connection, because the underlying problem is one of exalting works over faith. The implicit premise is that the way to answer the question, “Is this man a true Christian?” is to answer the question, “Is this man a nice guy?”

It is a particularly naked kind of salvation by works because it even divorces Works from what we might think of as works esteemed by God. The good work is being pleasant company, rather than obeying Biblical commands. I am sure those who fall into this trap would go further, and have a full list of their own Do’s and Don’t’s— probably they would say that racial intolerance and child molesting cannot be tolerated in the Church, for example, even if sodomy and adultery can be.

Can the Global Trade Imbalance Continue?

Saturday, July 29th, 2006

I was just reading some conventional wisdom that the US trade deficit with China cannot go on forever. The article was intelligent, in that it realized that in general it is quite possible to have a trade deficit go on forever, if the surplus country wants to keep investing in the deficit country’s assets forever. Currently, however, it seems that the Chinese government is maintaining an undervalued currency, which is why it exports so much.

But that, too, can go on forever, and in any case it is a good thing for the United States. I can model this simply and convey the idea, I think.

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Getting Old Posts Indexed

Friday, July 28th, 2006

I used to use my own HTML for this weblog, rather than blogging software. It works very well for basic functions–better than Wordpress, actually. But it is not good for archiving and categories and did not allow comments at all, so I changed.

I would like to transfer all my old posts to Wordpress now, so they would be in the categories and the search engine. I think what I’ll do is transfer them one by one as I refer to them. That way, the most important ones will get on the new index.

Good and Bad Art Galleries

Friday, July 28th, 2006

The old National Gallery building in Washington DC is dramatically better than the new one by I. M. Pei. I wonder when we’ll have the guts to tear the new one down and replace it with one in the style of the old building?

Bans on Lie Detector Tests

Wednesday, July 26th, 2006

BANS ON LIE DETECTOR TESTS are a great example of not just foolish but wasteful and dangerous government regulation. But to see how useful lie detector tests are, one must not ask scientists or lawyers; one must think about the data like an economist or businessman. (I don’t mean to insult scientists and lawyers–but just because all the smart scientists and lawyers agree on something is not a reliable guide to whether it is good policy.) Law professor Instapundit’s August 5, 2003 posting and the recent National Academy of Sciences report attacking lie detectors are prime examples of this. Using just these two sources and the anti-lie-detector August 3, 2003 Boston Globe story that Instapundit cites (now gone from the free site), we see that lie detectors actually are useful and effective, even without going to pro-lie-detector sources.

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A Good Way to Display Arrowheads

Wednesday, July 26th, 2006

This is from the Indian Museum on the Mall in Washington DC. You can touch an arrowhead on the picture of the cabinet on the computer screen, and go to a close-up of that arrowhead and details of its history. Many, many museums should do this. It’s too expensive for the Olmstead Museum in Somonauk, Illinois, though.

“Every Breath You Take”

Tuesday, July 25th, 2006

“Every Breath You Take” Dean Glenn Hubbard, Columbia School.

Fascinating.

Picasa

Monday, July 24th, 2006

Picasa is a well-crafted picture organizing program that can be
downloaded free from Google. A feature I like very much is that it automatically batch-downsizes photo files for sending by email, something very handy when emailing baby pictures to my modem-linked parents.

All May Park. All Must Pay.

Sunday, July 23rd, 2006

I saw this in Arlington, Virginia, just off of Fairfax Road.

Deacons in Roman Catholicism, Stats on Priests, Monks, Nuns, Members

Saturday, July 22nd, 2006

My post of July 15 alluded to the decline of the Roman Catholic priesthood in the United States since 1965. Actually, the picture is more complicated, as the table below shows. Notice the big increase in “permanent deacons” in the United States. These are quasi-priests, ordained, but married and allowed to do pretty much everything except celebrate Mass and hear confessions. Thus, in the United States the Roman Catholic Church is effectively moving to allowing pastors to be married. Good! I wouldn’t be surprised if this is the entree for women in the priesthood, too. (This parallels annulment as a substitute for divorce: see “Vatican Alters Guidance on Annulments” and http://www.divorcereform.org/rates.html. How do serious-RC annulment rates compare to average US divorce rates?)

Thus, the real change is that fewer people are becoming monks, and nuns (especially nuns).

Also, note the worldwide pattern. It is very similar to the U.S. pattern, except that the number of deacons is much smaller relative to the number of priests. The growth of the church in the Third World is not keeping up with its decline in Europe and Latin America.

I’d be interested in seeing similar figures for Protestant pastors in the U.S. and the world.

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Are 1/3 of Roman Catholic Priests Homosexual?

Friday, July 21st, 2006

The Kansas City Star did a big investigation of AIDS in the Roman Catholic priesthood in 2000. Astonishing numbers seem to be homosexual and/or to have AIDS. (more…)

A Higher Authority

Thursday, July 20th, 2006

I saw this sign in Washington, D.C.

Maryland Trying to Force Wal-Mart to Provide Health Insurance

Wednesday, July 19th, 2006

The district court ruling in the Wal-Mart case, RELI v. Fielder provides a lot to think about. One thing is that the Court says that it would not strike down a law even if its explicit purpose was to punish one company, Wal-Mart, because Wal-Mart, unlike, for example, homosexuals, is politically powerful and won’t be treated unjustly by the political process: (more…)

The Syrian Pullout from Lebanon: A Major US Foreign Policy Success back in 2005

Wednesday, July 19th, 2006


One of Bush’s major foreign policy triumphs was to get Syria to end its occupation of a third of Lebanon in April 2005, something other presidents and the rest of the world had failed at for 29 years. I had to look it up, since the media has been so quiet about it, and I couldn’t remember if it actually happened. Syria must have been scared after the second Gulf War. Now they are no doubt resentful, and that may be one reason why they are beefing up Hezbollah. I have also heard, and believe it, that Iran has been inciting Hezbollah, which makes sense for internal Iranian political reasons. From an April 27, 2005 news resport:

Retreating soldiers, flashing victory signs, completed a withdrawal spurred by intense international pressure and massive Lebanese street protests against a Syrian occupation force that at one time reached 40,000. Masnaa residents of the Bekaa Valley region danced, waved flags, raised banners and cried tears of brotherhood in celebration as they witnessed the last troop convoys passing. The Tuesday afternoon border crossing marked the official exit from Lebanon of the last army remnants, leaving 29 years of occupation behind.

To Divagate

Tuesday, July 18th, 2006

Having corresponded with The Divagator, I decided to look up the word:

di·va·gate
1. To wander or drift about.
2. To ramble; digress.

Prosecuting Journalists for Spying

Monday, July 17th, 2006

This Weekly Standard article is on the question I have discussed before of whether journalists are guilty of breaking a law when they betray war secrets to the enemy. It seems to be wrong, almost willfully wrong, though, on the Espionage Act, a good example of how we should be careful of any article that cites an Act without quoting its key sentence. So I’ll just quote from the official summary of the legal opinion I found after five minutes of googling, U.S. v. Morison, 604 F. Supp. 655 (1985), which said that intent was irrelevant in the case of leaks by government officials– that “willful” disclosure just means intentional, not with intent to hurt the United States:

CASE SUMMARY:

PROCEDURAL POSTURE: Defendant was charged by the government with the willful release of secret government photographs to a person not entitled to receive them, in violation of 18 U.S.C.S. @ 793(d), and theft or conversion of the classified information in violation of 18 U.S.C.S. @ 641. Before the court was defendant’s motion to dismiss the indictment.

OVERVIEW: The charges against defendant related to his alleged release of copies of photographs, classified “secret,” to a British defense magazine, his retention and unauthorized possession of classified documents, and his theft and disposal or conversion of government property containing intelligence analysis. In ruling on defendant’s motion, the court held that 18 U.S.C.S. @ 793(d) and (e) was not unconstitutionally vague or overbroad because, given its plain language, the statute was violated if defendant willfully transmitted photographs relating to the national defense to someone who was known by defendant not to be entitled to receive it, and the statute clearly set out who was entitled to receive such information. Further, 18 U.S.C.S. @ 641 was not unconstitutionally vague or overbroad because the statute made clear that disclosures that could be punished under @ 641 were those where the government had asserted an interest in secrecy by classifying a document or information “secret.” It was clear that because disclosures of classified information could be prosecuted under @ 641, defendant’s motive in disclosing classified information was irrelevant.

From the actual opinion:

Morison urges that the requirement that acts be done wilfully translates to a requirement that they be done with some evil purpose and that if he acted with an intent to inform the public he did not have the requisite evil purpose. He urges this Court to adopt a construction of the word wilfully used in Hartzel v. United States, 322 U.S. 680, 686, 88 L. Ed. 1534, 64 S. Ct. 1233 (1944). In that case, the court, noting that the statute was a highly penal one restricting freedom of expression, held that the word “wilful” must be taken to mean “deliberately and with a specific purpose to do the acts proscribed by Congress.” In another sentence, the Court referred to this “evil purpose;” however, in the rest of the opinion the court refers only to the specific intent to do the evil prohibited by the statute, i.e., causing or attempting to cause insubordination, disloyalty, or mutiny. That case did not require[**22] “evil purpose” as the defendant reads it, but only required that the prohibited acts be done deliberately and with a specific purpose to do that which was prohibited. In Truong Dinh Hung, 629 F.2d at 919, the court discussed the trial court’s instruction that “wilfully” meant “not prompted by an honest mistake as to one’s duties, but prompted by some personal or underhanded motive” and apparently approved such an instruction.

Hermeneutics: Look for What Bothers You

Sunday, July 16th, 2006

I was listening to a Tim Bayly sermon the other day, and heard him say something like the following: The way to decide what to think about in the Bible is to decide what bothers you, and concentrate on that. I like that idea. It is a way to get out of the Bible more than you put in. Reading the parts you already agree with and act upon is not as useful as deliberately looking at the parts that make you feel uncomfortable because you don’t understand them or don’t like them or aren’t living up to them.

Why Is Romanism More Successful with Protestants than with Catholics?

Saturday, July 15th, 2006

It’s curious that the Roman Catholic church has been quite successful in America in getting intelligent evangelical converts, but very bad at keeping its own serious-minded people or at getting the unchurched. (The number of priests, monks, and nuns is way down; see
http://cara.georgetown.edu/bulletin/RelStatistics.html).

I wonder if the reason isn’t evangelical despair at always wondering about theology. The Authority of the Church seems to be the central attraction– the idea that if a doctrine is old, it’s got to be right, and that papal infallibility, unlike inerrancy, can quiet one’s uneasy doubts by giving a right answer to everything.

July 16: I cited the wrong table. Above is for monks and nuns. More generally, see http://cara.georgetown.edu/bulletin/.

Paying Robbers not to Rob

Friday, July 14th, 2006

Alex Tabarrok is skeptical that this plan, quoted by him from somewhere else, will work:

…the Yobe State Government [in Nigeria, AT] determined to curb the spate of armed robbery in the state introduced a novel anti-crime, social protection programme, what it termed “the repentant robbers scheme”. The objective was to encourage armed robbers in the state to confess to their sins, and if they did and signed up for the programme, the state offered to pay them a sum of N5, 200 per month. The repentant robbers were only required to swear with the Holy Qu’ran that they would never again return to their bad ways.

The big problem is that now there is an incentive to become an armed robber, in order to retire and get the pension. There might be something to this, though. What we’d like to do is to identify the potential criminals and give them an efficiency wage,
as in the paper of mine abstracted below. Then a reduced marginal utility of income plus the threat of losing the pension would deter future crime.

Another possible advantage (though still with the time consistency problem) is that having confessed to the old crimes, the criminals would be vulnerable to a recidivism penalty if they stole again, and might be deterred.

`An Income-Satiation Model of Efficiency Wages,” Economic Inquiry (July 1992) 30(3): 467- 478. Efficiency wages are wages that exceed a worker’s reservation wage. A standard explanation for such wages is “bonding”: by increasing the worker’s fear of discharge, high wages increase the worker’s cost from punishment. A neglected alternative is “satiation”: by decreasing the worker’s marginal utility of income, the high wage decreases the benefit from misbehavior. Satiation, unlike bonding, applies even in a one- period model, but it relies on the misbehavior having a monetary benefit and on at least part of the punishment being nonmonetary. (http://rasmusen.org/published/Rasmusen_92ECINQ.effwages.pdf) .


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