Jury Voting– Condorcet
I forget whose idea this is, but it is a good one. Suppose each of 9 jurors gets a signal of guilty or innocence. They must be unanimous to convict. I get a signal of INNOCENT. We will vote independently, without discussion. What should I do?
I should not vote INNOCENT in equilibrium. Rather, I will mix. That is because if I pick INNOCENT, maybe everybody else has GUILTY, and I will wreck everything and there will be acquittal. Thus, in equilibrium there will be some people with INNOCENT signals who will vote GUILTY anyway.
May 14th, 2007 at 4:22 pm
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